In this July 9, 2014 photo, economist David Levy poses for picture in his office in Mt. Kisco, N.Y. Levy, who oversees the Levy Forecast, a newsletter analyzing the economy that his family started in 1949, says the United States is likely to fall into a recession next year triggered by downturns in other countries, the first time in modern history. (AP Photo/Seth Wenig)

NEW YORK (AP) — Just as the U.S. economy is strengthening, other countries are threatening to drag it down.

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